IMT Novi Beograd vs TSC Backa Topola
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

IMT Novi Beograd hosts TSC Backa Topola in the Serbian Super Liga Relegation Group on Sunday, 24 May 2026 at 17:30 UTC. Both sides are fighting for survival in the lower half of the table, with IMT sitting first in the group on 49 points and TSC third on 44 points. This clash carries significant weight as the season approaches its conclusion, with only three points separating the two rivals.

IMT Novi Beograd have shown remarkable defensive resilience lately, winning three of their last five matches without conceding a goal—including victories over FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV and draws against Radnicki 1923 and Javor. However, they have struggled to generate attacking threat, scoring just four goals across those five games. TSC Backa Topola present a sharper attacking profile with 14 goals in their last five outings, though their defence has leaked eight. Their form is inconsistent, with two losses sandwiching wins and draws, including an impressive 6-1 victory over Javor but a recent 1-2 defeat to Radnicki NIS.

The betting market heavily favours TSC Backa Topola, pricing them at 1.70 to win, while IMT sits as underdogs at 4.33. The draw is available at 3.80. The statistical model projects a 45% draw probability and 45% away victory likelihood, suggesting strong parity despite market pricing. BTTS Yes trades at 1.80, and Over 2.5 goals is evenly priced at 1.86.

Smart angle: The official recommendation points to double chance X2 (draw or TSC Backa Topola win) at 1.19. With IMT's defensive strength limiting scoring opportunities and TSC's attacking prowess, a draw combined with TSC's win probability offers compelling value. This protects against the heavy home underdog scenario while capturing TSC's attacking potential.