Afturelding vs Fylkir
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Afturelding hosts Fylkir in a top-of-the-table clash in the 1. Deild on Sunday 31 May 2026 at the venue in Mosfellsbaer. Both sides are among Iceland's elite this season, with Fylkir leading the standings on 15 points and Afturelding in second on 13 points. This matchday 7 encounter is crucial for both teams' title ambitions, and neither can afford to drop ground.

Afturelding arrives in excellent form, with five consecutive wins and an impressive +5 goal difference. They have scored 18 goals in their last five games, demonstrating attacking prowess, though their defence has conceded 7. Fylkir are even more solid defensively, surrendering only 3 goals in five matches while posting four wins. Fylkir's 8-goal advantage is a testament to their discipline, though they have been slightly less prolific in attack with 11 goals across the same span. The statistical model rates Afturelding's form at 52% versus 48%, yet credits Fylkir's superior defensive structure.

The bookmakers favour a closely contested match. The reference odds are 2.30 home, 3.45 draw, 2.78 away. BTTS Yes sits at 1.56, suggesting confidence in both sides finding the net. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.67, indicating an expectation of an open encounter. The analytical model projects draw and away scenarios at 45% each, with home victory only 10% probable. Double chance X2 (draw or away) trades at 1.49.

Key bet: Double chance 1X (Afturelding or draw) at 1.30 remains the safest approach here. Despite the model leaning towards a Fylkir advantage, Afturelding's blistering five-game streak and home advantage warrant draw protection. This represents good value for a contest between the league's top two contenders.