Mes Kerman vs Naft Gachsaran
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Mes Kerman host Naft Gachsaran in Azadegan League Round 28 action on Tuesday, 9 June 2026. Both sides remain competitive in Iran's second tier, but recent momentum and tactical setup heavily favour the visitors. The fixture carries significant implications for mid-table positioning as the season enters its decisive phase.

Mes Kerman has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses over their last five outings, scoring 4 goals while conceding 3. Their form remains inconsistent, with a recent victory over Fard Alborz (2-0) followed by a defeat to Nassaji Mazandaran (1-2) and a goalless stalemate with Ario Eslamshahr. Naft Gachsaran, by contrast, is in exceptional shape—3 wins and 2 draws without defeat, netting 5 goals for just 1 conceded. They have claimed back-to-back victories against Damash Gilanian and Saipa, establishing themselves as formidable contenders.

The statistical model projects 45% probability for a draw and 45% for an away win, with the home side at only 10%. Bookmakers reflect this disparity: Mes Kerman are priced at 1.75, while Naft Gachsaran sit at 5.00. The draw stands at 2.88. Form ratings heavily favour the visitors (61% vs 39%), and attack/defence gaps are equally pronounced. Double chance 1X is available at attractive odds of 1.12.

Key bet: The official site favours double chance 1X—backing Mes Kerman or the draw at 1.12. Although the statistical model leans toward an away result, draw protection provides valuable insurance given the visitors' unpredictability in H2H clashes, where both teams have recorded draws and narrow victories. This combination offers the best risk-adjusted entry.