Ittihad Tanger vs Yacoub El Mansour
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Ittihad Tanger hosts Yacoub El Mansour in Botola Pro Regular Season matchday 24 at Stade Ibn Batouta, Tanger on Sunday, 14 June 2026. The home side occupies 11th place with 26 points, while the visitors sit 16th with just 17 points. This clash between a mid-table side and a struggling outfit carries stakes for both teams' playoff and survival hopes respectively.

Ittihad Tanger has shown resilience with three wins in their last five matches, though a recent loss to Renaissance Berkane tempered momentum. They have scored five goals and conceded three over this span, maintaining a solid defensive record. Yacoub El Mansour continues to struggle—two losses in their last five games, including defeats to CR Khemis Zemamra and UTS Rabat, leave them vulnerable. The visitors have scored six but also conceded six, suggesting defensive fragility.

The bookmakers favour Ittihad Tanger at 2.25, with the draw at 2.90 and Yacoub El Mansour at 3.10. The statistical model predicts a 45% win probability for the home side and 45% for a draw, with the away team at just 10%. Over/Under 2.5 goals trades near evens, suggesting a moderately open affair. Double chance 1X is priced at 1.30, reflecting strong backing for either a home win or stalemate.

Key bet: Double chance 1X remains the smart play here. Ittihad Tanger holds superior form and home advantage, while Yacoub El Mansour's inconsistency—four wins in their last 12 league matches—makes an away victory unlikely. Draw protection at 1.30 offers genuine value for a contest where the model assigns equal probability to home win and stalemate.