Raja Casablanca vs Renaissance Berkane
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Raja Casablanca host Renaissance Berkane at Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca on Wednesday, 3 June 2026, in Botola Pro matchday 22. The hosts occupy second place with 42 points, while Renaissance Berkane sit fifth with 40 points. Both clubs are in contention and separated by just two points, making this a crucial mid-season encounter for league positioning.

Raja Casablanca arrive in excellent defensive form, conceding only 1 goal in their last 5 matches while recording 4 wins and 1 loss. They won 2-0 against El Massira and 1-0 against Olympique Dcheïra, though suffered a 0-1 defeat to Wydad AC. Renaissance Berkane boast stronger attacking credentials with 10 goals in their last 5 games (4 wins, 1 draw), including a 3-1 demolition of Wydad Fès. However, they have conceded 5 goals in that span, indicating defensive vulnerability against a sharp Raja attack.

The market favours Raja with a 1.91 home price, while Renaissance Berkane are rated 4.10. Draw odds stand at 2.90. The statistical model assigns equal probability to Raja victory and draw (45% each), with only 10% for away success. BTTS Yes is priced at 2.25, while Under 3.5 goals is heavily favoured at 1.13, reflecting both teams' recent mixed attacking-defensive balance.

Key bet: Double chance 1X (Raja Casablanca or draw) represents the sensible approach here. With Raja's stronger home record and defensive solidity against Renaissance Berkane's inconsistency, protecting against a third-placed finish is wise. The 1.20 odds on this market provide security while capturing the likely outcome.