VfB Stuttgart
Borussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart welcome Borussia Dortmund to the MHP Arena on Saturday in Matchday 4 of the Bundesliga. This early-season clash pits a struggling home side against the league's in-form visitors. Stuttgart sits 14th with just three points, while Dortmund occupies second place with nine points. The stakes are high: a win could significantly alter both teams' campaigns.
Stuttgart has recovered from a midweek loss to Hoffenheim with consecutive victories, scoring 13 goals in five games but conceding nine. However, their league position reflects inconsistency: one win, two losses so far. Dortmund arrives in pristine condition—five straight wins, an unbeaten record, and a formidable +6 goal difference. The visitors have conceded just four goals while scoring 16. Recent head-to-head meetings show competitive balance, though Dortmund prevailed in April.
Bookmakers price Stuttgart at 2.35 for a home win, with Dortmund at 2.75. The draw sits at 3.80. BTTS Yes is heavily backed at 1.36, reflecting both sides' attacking intent. Over 2.5 goals trades at 1.40. The statistical model suggests 45% for home, 45% for draw, and 10% for away—indicating a closely matched encounter despite Dortmund's superior recent form.
Key bet: Double chance 1X (Stuttgart or draw) at 1.44 offers compelling value. Despite Dortmund's excellent form, the model sees genuine home resilience and draw probability. This hedge protects against an away upset while backing Stuttgart's home advantage at the MHP Arena.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 |  FC Augsburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Bayern München | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  SV Elversberg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 |  Hamburger SV | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
