JFK Ventspils vs Leevon / PPK
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

JFK Ventspils host Leevon / PPK in the Latvian Cup Round of 32 on Saturday, 20 June 2026 at 16:00 UTC. This knockout fixture is a one-off decider where both teams have already progressed through earlier qualifying rounds. The winner advances; there is no replay or aggregate rule. The bookmakers favour Leevon / PPK, pricing them at 1.73 for an away victory, while a JFK Ventspils home win sits at 3.60.

JFK Ventspils have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses across their last five outings, scoring 6 goals while conceding 4. Their most recent fixture was a 1–2 defeat to Leevon / PPK, though they bounced back with a convincing 3–0 win over Upesciema Warriors before that. Leevon / PPK, by contrast, have been in dominant form: 4 wins and 1 draw from their last five matches, with an impressive 12 goals scored against 7 conceded. Their only recent blemish was a 0–0 stalemate with JDFS Alberts, but they've otherwise been ruthless in attack, including a 5–3 victory against DSVK Traktors.

The betting market reflects Leevon / PPK's superior current form, pricing double chance X2 (draw or away win) at 1.21, a highly favoured outcome. Both Teams To Score is priced at 1.37, suggesting offensive intent from both sides. Over 2.5 goals trades at 1.38, backed by the model's suggestion of 35% draw probability and attacking threat from both camps. The statistical model indicates 35% chance of a home win and 30% for an away win, though Leevon / PPK's attack rating of 63% versus JFK Ventspils' 38% underscores their edge in scoring potential.

Smart angle: Double chance X2 (draw or Leevon / PPK victory) at 1.21 offers the strongest risk-adjusted value. Leevon / PPK's recent run of form, combined with two recent head-to-head wins, positions them well to advance or force a draw. This outcome provides defensive cover against an upset at home.