Tallinna Kalev II vs Tartu Kalev
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Tallinna Kalev II host Tartu Kalev in Esiliiga B regular season action on Monday, 1 June 2026. Tartu arrive as clear favourites in the betting market, reflected in their 1.80 win odds, while the hosts sit ninth in the league standings with just 7 points. This encounter carries real relevance for mid-table positioning as we approach the season's final stretch.

Tallinna Kalev II have struggled badly, recording only one draw in their last five matches alongside four defeats. They have shipped 11 goals in that span while managing just 7 in return, highlighting significant defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Tartu Kalev are in far better shape, boasting 2 wins and 1 draw from their last five outings. They sit sixth in the league with 22 points, a commanding 15-point gap ahead of the hosts, and have demonstrated attacking prowess with 14 goals scored against 8 conceded this season.

The betting market heavily favours Tartu, with bookmakers pricing the away win at 1.80 against 3.00 for a home victory. The statistical model also projects strong probabilities for Tartu, assigning them a combined 45% win probability alongside a 45% draw chance. Over 2.5 goals carries odds of 1.20, reflecting expectations of an open contest. Double chance X2 (draw or away win) is offered at 1.31, representing solid value given recent form disparity.

Key bet: Double chance X2 — protecting against Tartu Kalev or a draw. Tallinna Kalev II's poor recent form and defensive record make them unlikely victors, while Tartu's superior league position and attacking output favour the away side or stalemate. The 1.31 odds offer reasonable protection in a fixture where the hosts face an uphill battle.