Arlanda vs Gefle IF
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Arlanda host Gefle IF in Ettan - Norra at Midgardsvallen on Monday, 1 June 2026, in a Swedish fourth-tier fixture. Arlanda sit fifth in the standings with 17 points from a solid record, while Gefle IF occupy 12th place with just 8 points. The hosts are clear favourites and the bookmakers price them at 1.67, reflecting their superior league position and recent stability.

Arlanda have shown impressive consistency over their last five matches, recording 1 win and 4 draws whilst maintaining a goal difference of +9 overall. Their defensive record is particularly strong, conceding only 3 goals in that run. Gefle IF, by contrast, have struggled significantly with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in the same period, shipping 8 goals and scoring just 4. The visitors are in clear distress, having been thrashed 4-0 by Järfälla in their most recent outing, whilst Arlanda drew 0-0 against FBK Karlstad.

The betting market strongly favours a home victory at 1.67, whilst the statistical model projects home and draw probabilities at 45% each, with the visitors at just 10%. BTTS is priced at 1.71 for yes and Over 2.5 goals at 1.74. The model recommends a combination of double chance 1X paired with Under 3.5 goals, highlighting defensive solidity from the hosts.

Key bet: Arlanda to win outright at 1.67 remains the standout pick. The home side's defensive prowess, unbeaten run and commanding league position make them the clear selection despite the model flagging draw risk. Back the hosts as the primary choice.