CSKA 1948 vs Levski Sofia
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

CSKA 1948 host Levski Sofia in a Championship Group encounter at Bistritsa Stadium on Monday, 25 May 2026. This matchup carries significant weight in Bulgaria's top flight, with Levski Sofia sitting atop the standings on 80 points, while CSKA 1948 occupy second place with 66 points. The visitors enter as heavy favorites based on recent dominance and league position, yet the home side will seek to mount a challenge in what promises to be a competitive affair.

CSKA 1948 have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses across their last five outings, scoring 4 goals while conceding 4. Recent results show a mixed picture: victory over Ludogorets, a stalemate against CSKA Sofia, and a defeat to the same opponent. Levski Sofia, by contrast, display superior form with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last five, netting 7 goals against 3 conceded. The visitors' recent 2-0 win over CSKA Sofia underlines their attacking potency. Head-to-head history heavily favors Levski Sofia, who have won four of the last five meetings, including a 1-0 victory just weeks ago.

Bookmakers price CSKA 1948 at 2.40 for a home win, with the draw offered at 3.00 and Levski Sofia at 3.20. The statistical model diverges from the market, predicting 45% probability for a draw and 45% for an away victory, against just 10% for a home win. This suggests the market may be overvaluing CSKA 1948. BTTS Yes is priced at 1.84, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 2.22. The double chance 1X (CSKA or draw) is available at 1.34, offering value given the model's defensive profile.

Key bet: Double chance 1X offers the optimal risk-adjusted return here. Despite Levski's dominance in recent meetings and the form ratings favoring the visitors, CSKA 1948's home advantage and the draw probability of 45% make backing either a home win or stalemate the smart angle. The 1.34 odds provide reasonable insurance against an away victory.