Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Ludogorets hosts CSKA Sofia at the Huvepharma Arena in Razgrad on Monday 25 May 2026 in the Bulgarian First League Championship Group. The match kicks off at 17:30 UTC and pits two title-contenders separated by just one point in the standings. Third-placed Ludogorets (64 pts) face fourth-placed CSKA Sofia (63 pts) in a fixture with significant top-four implications as the season reaches its climax.

Ludogorets have shown inconsistent form recently, posting 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over their last five matches while scoring just 2 goals and conceding 3. Their defensive solidity has wavered, and attacking output remains modest. CSKA Sofia, by contrast, have collected 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the same period, netting 4 goals. The visitors' form rating stands at 64% versus 36% for the hosts, and their attack rating is equally superior at 57% to 43%. Head-to-head context shows CSKA Sofia dominant in recent clashes, winning 2 of their last 5 encounters.

Bookmakers rate Ludogorets as clear home favourite at 1.67, with a draw priced at 3.75 and CSKA Sofia at 5.00. Double chance 1X is attractive at 1.16, while BTTS Yes sits at 1.72. The analytical model, however, suggests CSKA Sofia or draw at 45% each, with home win probability just 10%. This significant divergence between market odds and model probabilities signals volatility, yet the bookies' heavy favouritism toward the hosts reflects home-ground advantage and head-to-head recent momentum.

Pick to watch: Ludogorets to win at 1.67 remains the official site prediction and backed by home advantage at the Huvepharma Arena, despite the model's caution. The hosts have the platform and need the result; expect them to dominate possession and territory.