Niger vs Mauritania
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Niger hosts Mauritania in a Friendly International match on Monday, 8 June 2026 at 19:00 UTC. This is a low-stakes international fixture where both sides will be testing preparations and squad depth. With no competitive pressure, the match serves as a chance for each nation to fine-tune tactical approaches ahead of upcoming campaigns.

Niger enter on solid form, posting 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss across their last five outings, scoring 5 goals while conceding just 3. Their recent record includes a draw against Benin and a blank draw versus Libya, showing defensive solidity. Mauritania, by contrast, have struggled badly, recording no wins in their last five, with 3 draws and 2 defeats. They have shipped 7 goals while managing only 2, including heavy losses to Argentina and Senegal. The form disparity strongly favours the hosts.

The betting market reflects this imbalance: 3.25 for a Niger win, 2.80 for a draw, and 2.35 for Mauritania. The analytical model projects 45% chance of a home win and 45% for a draw, with only 10% probability for an away victory. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.37, while Under 2.5 sits at 1.52.

Smart angle: the official recommendation points to Double chance X2 — backing Mauritania or a draw at 2.35. Despite Niger's superior recent form and the model's lean towards the hosts, draw protection offers good value in a friendly where both sides may rotate heavily and lack urgency.