Beerschot VA vs Lommel United
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Beerschot VA and Lommel United meet in the Jupiler Pro League Semi-finals at the Olympisch Stadion, Antwerp on Saturday, 9 May 2026. This knockout tie will determine which team advances to the final. One berth awaits; the stakes could not be higher. The referee is N. Laforge. Only one team will progress.

Beerschot VA arrives with a mixed recent record: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over their last five outings, scoring 10 and conceding 10 goals. Form rating stands at 31%, while their attack is rated 38% and defence 25%. Most alarmingly, they lost 1–3 to Lommel United just days ago. Lommel United, by contrast, are in stronger shape: 3 wins and 2 losses, having scored 9 and conceded only 5. Their form rating is 69%, attack 62%, and defence 75%—a commanding statistical advantage across the board.

The bookmaking market reflects caution: Beerschot VA sit at 1.95, the draw at 4.00, and Lommel United at 3.40. The analytical model predicts win probabilities of home 10%, draw 45%, and away 45%—essentially favouring Lommel United or a draw. Double chance 1X trades at 1.25, a tight price reflecting the market's belief that Beerschot VA will at minimum draw. BTTS Yes is priced at 1.57, suggesting both teams may find the net.

Smart angle: The bookmaker market and the official site prediction align on double chance 1X (Beerschot VA or draw), priced at 1.25. Although Lommel United hold a statistical edge in form, attack and defence, knockout football rewards resilience and draw protection is sound here. Back 1X as the safest route into extra time or penalties.