Reipas vs Union Plaani
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Reipas host Union Plaani in Kakkonen Group A action at Lahden kisapuisto in Lahti on Saturday, 13 June 2026. This is a fixture between the division's 5th-placed side and a struggling 10th-placed opponent. Reipas enter as heavy favourites, with the bookmaker odds reflecting a clear home advantage at 1.22.

Reipas show solid midseason form with three wins in their last five, though they suffered back-to-back defeats before their recent victory. They have scored 10 goals across those five matches while conceding 6, demonstrating attacking potency but some defensive fragility. Union Plaani, by contrast, are in crisis mode: winless in their last five games with only two draws and three losses. They have conceded 12 goals in that stretch while managing just 4, sitting 10th with a damaging goal difference of −16.

The betting market strongly favours a Reipas victory, reflected in odds of 1.22. The statistical model agrees, assigning 50% win probability to the home side, with Reipas rated significantly superior in form (82% vs 18%), attack (71% vs 29%), and defence (67% vs 33%). Goals are expected; BTTS Yes trades at 1.41 while Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.18.

Pick to watch: Reipas to win at 1.22 remains the clear path. The form gap is enormous—five unbeaten for the home side versus five winless for visitors—and Union Plaani's defensive record is alarming. Reipas should dominate.