Changchun Yatai vs Dalian Huayi
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Changchun Yatai host Dalian Huayi in League One (China) on Saturday 13 June 2026 at the Development Area Stadium, Changchun. This regular-season clash sees the home side looking to climb from 10th position, while visitors Dalian Huayi sit two places higher. Both teams enter with modest records and will aim to improve their goal difference and points haul in a competitive mid-table battle.

Changchun Yatai show mixed recent form—1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five outings—and have conceded 12 goals in that span while scoring 7. Their defense remains a concern, reflected in a modest league record of 3 wins, no draws and 3 losses. Dalian Huayi, by contrast, appear more compact defensively; they have drawn three of their last five games and lost just twice, though their attack is struggling with only 3 goals scored in five matches. The visitors' defensive record and draw tendency suggest a cautious approach.

The bookmaker consensus favors Changchun Yatai at 2.05, with draws quoted at 3.25 and away victory at 3.10. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.10, suggesting an evenly split market. The statistical model, however, signals 45% draw probability and 45% away win probability versus just 10% home win odds. This points to a competitive contest where the draw or visiting victory may be underpriced by the broader market.

Key bet: Double chance 1X—backing Changchun Yatai or the draw—at 1.26 offers draw protection in a match where both outcomes carry realistic probability. The home side's stronger form rating and the market's slight home lean make this the smart angle despite the statistical model's skepticism of an outright home win.