Changchun Xidu vs Rizhao Yuqi
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Changchun Xidu hosts Rizhao Yuqi at Yatai Training Base Stadium on Tuesday, 23 June 2026, in China League Two's 13th round. This mid-table clash carries significance for both sides seeking momentum in a tightly contested division. The home side enters as nominal favorites on paper, yet recent form tells a starkly different story, with Changchun Xidu struggling and Rizhao Yuqi showing resilience.

Changchun Xidu are in dire straits, winless in five matches (0W–2D–3L), having conceded eight goals while scoring just one. Their last three outings include a heavy 0–3 defeat to Dalian Kewei and two goalless draws. By contrast, Rizhao Yuqi display superior form with one win and three draws in their last five, maintaining solidity at the back (3 goals conceded) while managing three goals scored. The statistical model rates Changchun Xidu's attack at 33% and defense at 27%, versus Rizhao Yuqi's 67% and 73% respectively.

Bookmakers price Changchun Xidu at 3.70, the draw at 2.25, and Rizhao Yuqi at 2.05—suggesting the market favors the visitors. Double chance X2 (draw or away win) prices at 1.23, signaling strong confidence in Rizhao Yuqi not losing. The statistical model assigns 45% probability to both a draw and an away victory, with the home side at just 10%. BTTS Yes sits at 2.26, while Over 2.5 is 2.81—both suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair.

Key bet: Double chance X2 (Rizhao Yuqi or draw) at 1.23 emerges as the sensible play. Changchun Xidu's desperate form, poor defensive metrics, and single goal in five matches make a home win highly unlikely. Rizhao Yuqi's stability and superior ratings align with bookmaker odds and model consensus—draw protection offers value and significantly reduces risk.