CD Marathon vs Atlético Choloma
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

CD Marathon hosts Atlético Choloma at the Estadio Yankel Rosenthal in San Pedro Sula on Monday, 09 November 2026, in Liga Nacional Apertura matchday 14. The home side enters as clear favourites, sitting fourth in the standings with 25 points, while Atlético Choloma languishes in eighth place with just 14 points. This is a crucial fixture in the title race, and the bookmakers have priced CD Marathon accordingly.

CD Marathon shows mixed recent form: two wins, two draws and one loss over their last five outings, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. Their most recent outing was a draw against Alianza, sandwiched between a loss to CD Motagua and an impressive 3-1 victory over Platense FC. Atlético Choloma presents a weaker profile, also with 2 wins but coupled with 1 draw and 2 losses; they have scored 6 goals but conceded 7, revealing defensive frailty. Their recent sequence includes a goalless draw against Atletico Independiente, a heavy 0-3 defeat by CD Olimpia, and a 3-1 win over Génesis.

The bookmakers have priced this fixture decisively: 1.40 for a CD Marathon victory, 4.50 for a draw, and 5.75 for an away win. The statistical model shows a 45% probability of a home win and 45% draw, with only 10% for Atlético Choloma. Double chance markets favour the hosts at 1.06. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.55, suggesting confidence in scoring from the hosts.

Pick to watch: CD Marathon are overwhelming favourites at 1.40, backed by superior league position, head-to-head dominance (three wins in the last five meetings), and home advantage at Estadio Yankel Rosenthal. A home win is the smart backing here, despite the statistical model suggesting a close contest. The odds reflect genuine competitive advantage.