Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Maccabi Tel Aviv hosts Maccabi Haifa in a Championship Group clash at Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv on Wednesday, 13 May 2026. Both Israeli powerhouses battle for crucial points in the final stages of the season. Maccabi Tel Aviv sits third with 62 points, while Maccabi Haifa occupies fifth place with 48 points—a 14-point gap that underscores the home side's dominance.

Maccabi Tel Aviv brings impressive recent form: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over their last five matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding just 6. The hosts recovered from a 2-4 defeat to Beitar Jerusalem with a strong 4-0 victory over Hapoel Petah Tikva. Maccabi Haifa shows inconsistency—2 wins and 3 losses in five games, with a goal difference of -3 in that span. Head-to-head records favour Maccabi Tel Aviv decisively: they've won 3 of the last 5 meetings, including a 3-1 victory just weeks ago on 25 April.

Bookmakers price Maccabi Tel Aviv as clear favourites at 1.72, with the draw at 4.13 and away success at 4.04. The statistical model aligns closely, projecting a 45% home win probability alongside 45% for a draw, with only 10% assigned to an away victory. Double chance 1X trades at 1.20, reflecting the market's strong lean toward avoiding a Maccabi Haifa win. Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.43, suggesting expected attacking intent despite defensive vulnerabilities.

Key bet: Double chance 1X (Maccabi Tel Aviv or draw) emerges as the smart angle. With the hosts commanding superior form, head-to-head advantage, and a statistical model heavily favoring either home victory or a stalemate, backing draw protection at 1.20 provides balanced exposure while minimizing the risk of an upset loss—ideal insurance in a competitive matchup where a home stumble remains possible but unlikely.