Lyon
AuxerreLyon host Auxerre in Ligue 1 matchday 3 at the Parc Olympique Lyonnais on Friday, 4 September 2026. The hosts are clear favourites at 1.50, seeking to consolidate their early-season momentum after a mixed start. Auxerre arrive winless and with one of the league's worst defensive records, making this a significant opportunity for the home side.
Lyon sit fourth with 4 points from three matches (1W 1D), having scored 8 goals and conceded 4 across their last five outings. Their recent record shows resilience despite a loss to Fenerbahçe, with victories and draws interspersed. Auxerre remain rooted in the relegation zone with zero points from two matches, having conceded 10 goals in their last five games—a defensive vulnerability that contrasts sharply with Lyon's improving solidity. The gap in form and defensive discipline heavily favours the hosts.
The betting market reflects this disparity, with Double chance 1X priced at 1.15, signalling overwhelming confidence in a Lyon result. Over 1.5 goals sits at 1.21, indicating expectation of multiple goals. The statistical model assigns 45% probability to a Lyon win and 45% to a draw, with only 10% for Auxerre. The model's form and defensive ratings strongly favour the home side, though it flags a cautious scenario.
Key bet: Lyon to win outright at 1.50 remains the authoritative pick. The hosts' superior form, defensive organisation and league position make them overwhelming favourites in what should be a commanding home performance against a struggling visitor.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 |  Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Rennes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 |  Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 |  Paris FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Estac Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Angers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 14 |  Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 |  Nice | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 |  Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
