Arsenal
ChelseaArsenal hosts Chelsea at Emirates Stadium on Sunday, 6 September 2026 in Premier League Matchday 3. Both sides sit level on 6 points after two victories, but this London derby carries significant weight in the early season title race. The fixture promises attacking intent from teams in fine form, with Arsenal favoured at 1.65 to claim victory.
Arsenal have started impressively, winning their last three matches and scoring 10 goals in five games whilst conceding just four. They dispatched Manchester City 3-0 most recently, showcasing defensive solidity and clinical finishing. Chelsea are equally potent offensively, netting 15 goals in five outings, though their 9 conceded suggests vulnerability at the back. Their form remains stellar—four wins in five—but Arsenal's consistency and home advantage tilt the balance slightly in the host's favour.
The betting market reflects Arsenal's status as clear favourites, with the 1.65 home win odd representing strong confidence. The statistical model suggests a tighter contest, predicting 45% probability for Arsenal and 45% for a draw, with only 10% assigned to Chelsea. Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.81, and BTTS Yes is priced at 1.75, reflecting both teams' attacking prowess.
Pick to watch: Arsenal to win at 1.65 remains the logical backing despite model uncertainty. The Gunners' home record, superior consistency, and recent dominance over Chelsea (2-1 in March) provide a strong foundation for backing the favourite in a premium matchup.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 |  Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Everton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 |  Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 |  Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
