Leeds
Crystal PalaceLeeds hosts Crystal Palace at Elland Road in a Premier League clash on Sunday 20 September 2026. The home side enters as clear favourites at 1.67, reflecting their stronger league position and recent momentum. Leeds sit 6th with 8 points after five matches, while Crystal Palace languish in 17th with just 3 points—a significant gap that sets the context for this encounter.
Leeds have shown resilience with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last five outings, scoring 11 goals while conceding 9. Their form includes a dominant 4-1 victory over Newcastle but also a heavy 3-6 defeat to Chelsea, suggesting inconsistency. Crystal Palace have been equally unpredictable: 3 wins in five matches but also 2 losses, including a recent 2-3 setback to Ipswich. The visitors scored 13 goals yet conceded 9, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Leeds may exploit at home.
The betting market prices Leeds as a heavy favourite, with bookmakers offering 1.20 on the double chance 1X (Leeds win or draw). BTTS Yes sits at 1.66, while Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.69. The statistical model suggests a more cautious scenario, projecting 35% for Leeds win, 35% for a draw, and 30% for an away victory. Leeds' superior home form rating of 63% versus Crystal Palace's 38% supports the favourite, though Palace hold an attacking edge at 67% to 33%.
Key bet: Leeds emerge as the primary selection at 1.67. While the model suggests greater parity than the market prices, the hosts' league standing, recent victories, and dominant home defence make them the most rational choice. Palace have been unreliable on the road, and Leeds' proven capability in familiar surroundings justifies backing the outright home win.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 |  Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| 14 |  Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
