Tottenham
EvertonTottenham host Everton at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday 12 September 2026 in Premier League matchday 4. The home side sit 18th with just one point from their opening three games, while Everton occupy 8th place with five points. This fixture offers both teams a chance to build momentum in a crucial early-season encounter that will shape their campaign trajectory.
Tottenham have endured a difficult start, managing one draw and two defeats in their first three matches, scoring seven but conceding eight goals. Recent form shows inconsistency: a goalless draw with Nottingham Forest, followed by a 0-2 defeat to Newcastle, though they did dispatch Charlton 5-1. Everton, by contrast, have impressed with two wins and three draws from five games, posting an attacking record of 10 goals for and just four against. Their solidity at the back and attacking prowess have enabled them to accumulate five points from three league matches, positioning them as the sharper outfit heading into this encounter.
The betting market reflects Everton's superior start, pricing Tottenham at 1.95, a draw at 3.40, and the visitors at 3.70. Market consensus leans toward a competitive fixture with strong defensive displays; BTTS No is marginally favored at 1.99 over BTTS Yes at 1.76. The statistical model diverges significantly, predicting Everton victory with 45% draw probability and only 10% home win probability. However, the market's cautious pricing on the home side reflects genuine uncertainty in this matchup.
Key bet: Double chance 1X offers the most pragmatic approach at 1.29. Despite model predictions favoring Everton, Tottenham's home advantage and recent head-to-head history—including a 3-0 demolition of Everton last season—justify draw protection. This combination shields against away upset while capturing likely outcomes in a fixture containing genuine recovery potential for the hosts.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Hull City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Brentford | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 |  Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Everton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 |  Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Sunderland | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 18 |  Tottenham | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 19 |  Fulham | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 |  Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
