ST Mirren vs Partick
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

ST Mirren and Partick meet in a Scottish Premiership knockout final at The SMISA Stadium in Paisley on Monday, 25 May 2026. Both sides have advanced through earlier rounds and now contest a decisive single match to claim the title. This is a high-stakes encounter where one team will emerge victorious and the other go home empty-handed.

ST Mirren have shown mixed recent form with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses across their last five matches, scoring 4 goals while conceding 6. Their last outing was a 1–1 draw against Partick just days ago. Partick enter stronger on paper: unbeaten in five with 1 win and 4 consecutive draws, with superior defensive metrics (4 goals conceded vs 6). Their most recent result was also the 1–1 stalemate against ST Mirren, and they won 2–1 over Dunfermline before that.

The betting market favours ST Mirren slightly, pricing them at 1.73 with the draw at 3.60 and Partick at 4.75. Double chance 1X sits at 1.18—a protective angle reflecting uncertainty. The statistical model, however, predicts 45% probability for a draw and 45% for an away win, with 10% for a home victory. Defensive ratings favour Partick significantly. Both sides show balanced attacking and defensive capabilities overall.

Smart angle: Double chance 1X at 1.18 protects against Partick at long odds. The market and recent draws between these sides suggest neither will dominate. Home advantage and betting support make ST Mirren or the draw the sensible hedge in a tightly matched final.