Casa Pia
BenficaCasa Pia hosts Benfica on Monday, 17 August 2026 in Primeira Liga Round 2 at a venue in Rio Maior. This is a classic David-versus-Goliath clash, with Benfica arriving as heavy favourites at 1.26 odds. Casa Pia sit 17th after an opening loss, while Benfica drew their first fixture and are priced to dominate.
Casa Pia have endured a rough patch, collecting just 2 wins in their last five games while shipping 9 goals. They lost 0–1 to Maritimo and suffered a heavy 2–6 defeat to Leixoes. By contrast, Benfica are in sparkling offensive form, scoring 19 goals across five matches despite one loss and one draw. Their recent run includes a 6–1 romp over Heart of Midlothian and a 5–0 demolition of FC St. Gallen. The gulf in form and firepower is stark.
The betting market reflects this disparity decisively. Benfica are odds-on at 1.26, while the Double chance X2 (draw or away win) sits at 1.05. The statistical model forecasts 45% probability for a Benfica win and 45% for a draw, reflecting uncertainty in a competitive league. Goals markets lean toward Over 2.5 at 1.66, signalling expectation of a free-flowing encounter.
Key bet: Benfica are formidable favourites and should prevail. Their elite attack, combined with Casa Pia's defensive fragility and recent losses, make the away win the strongest play despite modest odds. Back Benfica at 1.26.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  GIL Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Maritimo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Arouca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Sporting CP | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Academico Viseu | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Famalicao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Estrela | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Estoril | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Santa Clara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Moreirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 |  Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 |  Guimaraes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 |  Alverca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
