Deportivo Laferrere vs Dock Sud
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Deportivo Laferrere hosts Dock Sud at Ciudad de Laferrere Stadium in Buenos Aires on Sunday, 7 June 2026, in a Primera B Metropolitana regular season encounter (Round 19). Both teams are mid-table competitors fighting for stability in Argentina's second tier. Laferrere sit 16th with 20 points, while Dock Sud occupy 12th with 22 points. This fixture offers a close contest with modest stakes but clear tactical intrigue.

Deportivo Laferrere arrive in poor form: one win, one draw and three losses over their last five matches, with a concerning goal tally of 4 scored against 7 conceded. Their defensive fragility (ranked 22% by the model) and inconsistent attacking output (44%) make them vulnerable. Dock Sud, by contrast, show stronger credentials: two wins, two draws and one loss in their last five, plus a positive goal difference (+3 overall) and a robust defensive record (78% rating). The away side's form advantage is substantial, with a 67% form rating versus Laferrere's 33%.

Bookmakers price Laferrere as slight favourites at 2.15 for a home win, with the draw at 2.75 and Dock Sud at 3.40. The statistical model, however, assigns only 10% probability to a home win, versus 45% for a draw and 45% for an away victory. The double chance 1X market (home win or draw) sits at 1.25, reflecting heavy backing for Laferrere not to lose. BTTS Yes is priced at 2.32, while Under 2.5 goals favours the under at 1.37.

Key bet: The double chance 1X at 1.25 offers draw protection for backing Laferrere not to lose. Although the model favours Dock Sud's chances and Laferrere's recent form is poor, home advantage and the tight market odds justify this cautious angle. A draw is the most probable outcome; the double chance secures value on either a home win or stalemate.