Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UTC Cajamarca
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Club Deportivo Los Chankas host UTC Cajamarca in Peru's Primera División on Sunday, 31 May 2026 at Estadio Municipal Los Chankas in Andahuaylas. This regular-season clash pits the league's second-place team against a mid-table side fighting for consistency. Los Chankas enter as heavy favourites at 1.67, reflecting their superior league position and recent stability.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit second in the standings with 33 points from 16 matches, boasting a positive goal difference of +4. However, their form over the past five games is mixed: one win, one draw, and three losses, with just two goals scored against nine conceded. UTC Cajamarca occupy 13th place with 17 points and a negative goal difference of –5. Their recent run shows two draws and three losses in five games, scoring only three goals while leaking eight. The gap in quality is evident, though Cajamarca's recent draws suggest defensive solidity on occasion.

The betting market strongly favours Los Chankas, pricing them at 1.67 for a home win, with Double chance 1X at 1.17 reflecting low draw probability. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.84, indicating modest scoring expectations. The statistical model, however, diverges significantly: it predicts a 45% draw probability and 45% away win chance versus just 10% home win probability. The model highlights Cajamarca's superior attack rating (60%) despite their league position, suggesting potential upside on double chance X2 at 2.06.

Key bet: Club Deportivo Los Chankas to win at 1.67. Despite the statistical model's caution and Cajamarca's attacking potential, Los Chankas' league position, superior form rating, and the market's strong backing make them the clear favourite. Their second-place standing and bookmaker consensus point to a home victory as the most probable outcome.