FC Cajamarca
Alianza LimaFC Cajamarca hosts league leaders Alianza Lima on Sunday, 31 May 2026 at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon in Cajamarca. This Primera División regular-season clash (Round 17) pits a mid-table home side against Peru's dominant force. Alianza Lima sits top with 39 points, while Cajamarca languishes in 15th on 16 points. The visitors are clear favorites to extend their unbeaten run and consolidate their championship position.
Cajamarca has shown some spark recently, winning three of their last five matches and scoring 10 goals in that span, though they have conceded 7. However, their overall season tells a different story: 16 points from 16 games with a minus-5 goal difference reflects chronic inconsistency. Alianza Lima, by contrast, are in imperious form—four wins and one draw in their last five outings, with just two goals conceded. Their league-leading goal difference of +22 and 39-point haul underscore their superiority. The visitors' defensive solidity (78% defence rating) versus the home side's fragile backline (22%) signals a significant quality gap.
The betting market reflects this disparity clearly. Alianza Lima's victory is priced at 1.75, indicating strong bookmaker confidence in an away win. The analytical model projects an even split between an Alianza Lima win and a draw (45% each), with Cajamarca's home advantage carrying minimal statistical weight at just 10%. Double chance X2 (draw or away win) is valued at 1.18, reflecting bookmakers' conviction that Cajamarca will struggle to claim three points. Both BTTS and Over 2.5 goals carry odds around 1.96 and 2.14 respectively, suggesting moderate goal-scoring expectation.
Smart angle: Double chance X2—protecting against Alianza Lima's dominance with draw insurance. At 1.18, this offers the best risk-adjusted proposition given the visitors' superior form, defensive prowess, and league-leading position. Cajamarca's home record and recent wins cannot override Lima's structural advantage in quality and consistency.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 39 |
| 2 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 33 |
| 3 |  Cienciano | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 30 |
| 4 |  Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 |  Universitario | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 26 |
| 7 |  FBC Melgar | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 |
| 12 |  Sporting Cristal | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 |
| 13 |  UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 18 |
| 14 |  UTC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 16 |  Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 |
| 17 |  Sport Huancayo | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
| 18 |  Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 |
