Deportivo Madryn vs Acassuso
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Deportivo Madryn host Acassuso in Primera Nacional Round 16 action at Estadio Abel Sastre in Puerto Madryn on Sunday, 31 May 2026 at 18:00 UTC. The hosts are strong favourites at 1.57, sitting 7th in the table with 22 points, while Acassuso languish in 15th place with just 14 points. A home victory would consolidate Deportivo Madryn's push toward the playoffs.

Deportivo Madryn have won three of their last five matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 7 during this spell. Their recent form includes a 2–1 victory over Chaco For Ever and a 3–2 win against Central Norte, though they suffered a 0–1 loss to Ferro Carril Oeste. Acassuso, by contrast, have struggled considerably—just one win and one draw in their last five, with a poor goal difference of minus 5 on the season. They managed only a 1–0 win versus Defensores De Belgrano, but losses to Ciudad de Bolívar and Almirante Brown highlight their defensive vulnerabilities.

The betting market reflects Deportivo Madryn's clear superiority. BTTS No sits at 1.53, while Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.35. The statistical model assigns 45% probability to a home win and 45% to a draw, with the home side showing a 71% form rating and dominant 90% attack rating. Double chance 1X is available at 1.09, reflecting strong bookmaker conviction in the home side not losing.

Key bet: Deportivo Madryn are the clear choice here. At odds of 1.57, backing the hosts to win outright aligns with their superior form, attack threat, and league position. They dominate the model's attack ratings and should prove too strong for a struggling Acassuso side.