Eyüpspor vs Rizespor
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Eyüpspor hosts Rizespor at Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu in Istanbul on Saturday in Süper Lig matchday 33. Eyüpspor sit 14th with 29 points, while Rizespor occupy a stronger 8th place with 40 points. Both sides are mathematically still in contention for final positions, though mid-table pressure defines this fixture.

Eyüpspor have posted a mixed 2W–1D–2L run across five games, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their recent victories over Gaziantep FK (3–0) and Fatih Karagümrük (2–1) show attacking potential, though a 1–1 draw with Kayserispor highlights inconsistency. Rizespor mirror the same record but sit significantly ahead in the table. They beat Konyaspor 3–2 but fell 0–2 to Kayserispor, suggesting vulnerability on the road. Form ratings favour Rizespor (59% vs 41%), with a notable edge in attack (61% vs 39%).

Bookmakers price Eyüpspor at 2.10, a draw at 3.40, and Rizespor at 3.20. The statistical model diverges from the market, assigning 45% probability to both draw and Rizespor win, versus 10% for a home victory. BTTS Yes trades at 1.63, reflecting mid-table defences; Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.78. Double chance 1X is offered at 1.33, effectively backing home resilience.

Key bet: Double chance 1X represents smart value. Although the statistical model leans toward Rizespor, Eyüpspor at home offer enough defensive stability and recent win form to justify draw protection. The 1.33 odds provide a comfortable margin for a fixture where neither team dominates convincingly.