Konyaspor vs Fenerbahçe
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Konyaspor host Fenerbahçe at the Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadium on Saturday 9 May 2026 in Matchday 33 of Turkey's Süper Lig. This is a pivotal clash between a mid-table side chasing consistency and the league's second-placed powerhouse hunting three points to maintain their title challenge. Fenerbahçe, with 70 points from 32 games, are clear favourites; Konyaspor sit ninth on 40 points.

Konyaspor arrive in impressive form, winning four of their last five matches, including victories over Beşiktaş and Trabzonspor, though they did lose 2–3 to Rizespor. They have scored eight goals in their last five outings while conceding just four. However, Fenerbahçe are the league leaders in goal difference and possess a +37 advantage overall. Fenerbahçe's recent form is mixed—two wins and two losses in their last five—but they remain the dominant force with 20 league wins this season and sit on 70 points.

Bookmakers price Fenerbahçe as strong favourites at 1.42, while Konyaspor are offered at 6.50. The statistical model projects a 45% probability for a draw and 45% for an away win, suggesting a competitive encounter despite the odds. Double chance X2 is priced at 1.11, reflecting the market's confidence in Fenerbahçe's superiority. BTTS Yes trades at 1.80, indicating a reasonable chance of both teams scoring.

Key bet: Fenerbahçe to win outright at 1.42. Despite Konyaspor's strong recent form and recent head-to-head success (1–0 victory just weeks ago), Fenerbahçe's vastly superior league position, goal difference, and overall quality make them the clear pick. The away side's consistency over the season outweighs short-term form fluctuations.