Molinos El Pirata vs Deportivo Llacuabamba
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Molinos El Pirata hosts Deportivo Llacuabamba in Peru's Segunda División on Monday 1 June 2026, with kickoff at 16:00 UTC. This Regular Season matchday 9 encounter pits the fifth-placed home side against the league leaders, who have established a commanding position atop the table with both their offensive prowess and defensive solidity.

Molinos El Pirata arrive in strong recent form, posting 4 wins from their last 5 games and scoring 9 goals while conceding only 4. However, they suffered a damaging 0-1 defeat to Carlos A. Mannucci most recently and sit on 10 points with a +1 goal difference. Deportivo Llacuabamba are league favorites, boasting 16 points from 5 wins and a draw, and impressively have conceded zero goals across their unbeaten run. Their dominant +10 goal difference underscores their quality; they remain undefeated in five head-to-head meetings spanning recent seasons.

Bookmakers favour Deportivo Llacuabamba at 2.30, while the home win is priced at 2.80 and the draw at 3.10. The statistical model predicts 45% probability for both a draw and an away victory, with only 10% for the home win. Markets suggest BTTS Yes at 1.68, reflecting attacking potential from both sides, while Under 3.5 goals is favoured at 1.28.

Key bet: Double chance X2 (draw or Deportivo Llacuabamba win) at 1.30 is the recommended play. The leaders' unbeaten record, superior defence and current league dominance make backing either their victory or a stalemate a prudent hedge, especially given the home side's recent loss form.