AS Roma vs Genoa
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

AS Roma host Genoa at the Stadio Olimpico on Saturday 17 October 2026 in Serie A's seventh round. The Giallorossi are third in the table with 14 points and heavy favorites at 1.36, while struggling Genoa sit 17th with just 4 points. Roma will look to extend their position among the elite, while Genoa desperately need a positive result to climb away from the relegation zone.

AS Roma have drawn three of their last five games but remain solid defensively with 4 wins, 2 draws and no losses in their recent stretch. They've scored 7 goals and conceded only 4, demonstrating control and stability. Genoa, by contrast, are inconsistent—two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five. They've conceded 6 goals while scoring just 5, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. The form rating heavily favors the hosts at 73% versus 27% for the visitors.

The market strongly backs AS Roma, with the draw priced at 4.75 and an away win at 8.50. The double chance 1X sits at just 1.08, reflecting Roma's dominance. The statistical model projects 50% for a Roma win with superior attack (67%) and defense (75%) ratings. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.69, slightly favored over the under.

Pick to watch: AS Roma represent the clear value here. Despite a recent run of draws, Roma's third-place standing, superior form rating, and dominant home record make them a confident selection at 1.36. Back the hosts to secure three points.