Cremonese vs Pisa
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Cremonese host Pisa at the Stadio Giovanni Zini on Sunday, 10 May 2026, in a crucial Serie A encounter at the bottom of the table. With the season winding down and survival hopes fading, both sides face mounting pressure. Cremonese sit 18th with 28 points, while Pisa occupy the relegation zone in 20th with just 18 points. Three points here could prove pivotal in their respective relegation battles.

Cremonese have shown slight resilience recently, drawing with Torino but suffering defeats to Lazio and Napoli. Over their last five games, they have won zero, drawn one, and lost four, scoring just two goals while conceding nine. Pisa are in freefall, winless in their last five matches with five consecutive losses. They have also scored two goals in their last five but conceded nine, mirroring Cremonese's defensive frailty. The home side's form rating sits at 100% compared to Pisa's 0%, suggesting Cremonese possess a marginal psychological edge despite both teams' poor trajectory.

The bookmaker odds reflect Cremonese's home advantage, pricing a home win at 1.70 against 5.00 for Pisa, with a draw at 3.75. The market favours Cremonese or a stalemate, reflected in the double chance 1X odds at 1.17. However, the statistical model suggests a contrasting view, predicting a 45% probability for both draw and away win, with only 10% assigned to a home victory. This divergence signals a tightly contested match where neither team commands clear control.

Key bet: the market leans toward double chance 1X at 1.17, offering draw protection for Cremonese's home advantage. Despite both teams' desperate form, this low-odds wager provides a sensible hedge in a difficult relegation six-pointer where the home side holds a marginal edge.