Udinese vs Cremonese
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Udinese hosts Cremonese at the Bluenergy Stadium in Udine on Sunday, 17 May 2026, in a Serie A regular season fixture (Matchday 37). With Udinese hunting European positions and Cremonese fighting relegation concerns, this final-day clash carries significant weight. The home side enters as clear favourites, but the betting market reflects underlying uncertainty about a comfortable victory.

Udinese has been in excellent recent form, posting three wins and a draw across their last five matches, scoring 10 goals while conceding just four. They currently sit 10th with 50 points from 36 games, maintaining a 71% form rating and attacking threat. Cremonese, by contrast, are struggling badly—one win, one draw, three losses in five, with just four goals scored and seven conceded. Ranked 18th on 31 points with a goal difference of -23, they face an uphill battle to avoid the drop zone.

The bookmaker consensus prices Udinese at 2.30 for a home win, with the draw at 3.30 and away victory at 3.00. The statistical model strongly favours Udinese or a draw outcome, assigning the home side a 50% win probability while backing the draw at the same 50%, with Cremonese given virtually no chance. Udinese's 71% form and attack ratings versus Cremonese's 29% defensive frailty signal a high-probability positive result for the home team.

Key bet: Double chance 1X (Udinese or draw) at 1.37 offers excellent value protection. The statistical model and defensive gap between these sides strongly back Udinese's ability to avoid defeat, making draw insurance an intelligent hedge on this fixture.