Kifisia vs Larisa
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Kifisia hosts Larisa in the Super League 1 Relegation Group on Thursday 21 May 2026 at Dimotiko Gipedo Neapolis, Athens. Both teams are battling relegation in the bottom half of the Greek top flight. Kifisia sits in second place with 38 points, while Larisa occupies fifth with 30 points. This is a critical match where neither side can afford to drop points in their fight for survival.

Kifisia have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over their last five games, scoring 3 goals and conceding 4. However, recent results show inconsistency—a 0–3 defeat to Atromitos sits among draws and victories. Larisa have been more resilient with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in the same period, netting 5 goals and conceding 5. The head-to-head record reveals a familiar pattern: their last four meetings have all ended in 1–1 draws, suggesting a competitive but cautious dynamic between these sides.

The betting market prices Kifisia as slight favourites at 2.27, while Larisa sits at 3.17 and a draw at 3.23. Double chance 1X is listed at 1.34. The statistical model, however, suggests Larisa hold the edge, projecting 45% draw probability and 45% away win probability, against only 10% for a home victory. Larisa also boast a stronger attack rating at 63% compared to Kifisia's 38%.

Smart angle: Given the narrow odds, historical pattern of draws, and Kifisia's home advantage, double chance 1X at 1.34 offers draw protection on the bookmaker favourite. This backs the home side or stalemate, aligning with both market signals and the competitive nature of recent head-to-head records.