Beijing Guoan vs Dalian Zhixing
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Beijing Guoan hosts Dalian Zhixing in a Super League matchday 10 encounter on Wednesday, 6 May 2026 at an undisclosed Beijing venue. Guoan sits 13th in the table with just four points, while Dalian Zhixing occupy third place with 18 points—a stark contrast in form and ambition this season.

Beijing Guoan have struggled significantly, posting one win, two draws and two defeats over their last five matches while conceding nine goals. They've scored only seven in that run and sit on a goal difference of minus two. Dalian Zhixing, by contrast, arrive in excellent form: four wins in five, conceding just four goals and maintaining an unbeaten record in draws. Their defensive solidity (one goal conceded per match) contrasts sharply with Guoan's vulnerability.

Bookmakers favour Beijing Guoan at 1.70, with the draw at 4.10 and Dalian Zhixing at 4.33. The statistical model, however, assigns 45% probability to both a draw and an away win, with the home side at just 10%. Guoan's form rating of 29% versus Dalian's 71% underscores the gap. BTTS Yes trades at 1.53, reflecting expectation of goals.

Key bet: the market favours Beijing Guoan despite their poor league position. Double chance 1X—backing Guoan or the draw—at 1.19 offers draw protection against a visiting side that boasts superior recent form. This hedge accommodates Dalian's strength while respecting home advantage.