Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Beijing Guoan
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Chongqing Tongliang Long hosts Beijing Guoan in Chinese Super League matchday 15 at Longxing Football Stadium on Saturday, 30 May 2026. The home side occupies second place with 24 points, while the visitors sit 13th with 12 points. This encounter carries implications for mid-table positioning as Chongqing seeks to maintain their strong standing while Beijing targets climbing from the lower half of the table.

Chongqing Tongliang Long have shown mixed form over their last five matches: one win, three draws, and one loss, scoring 5 goals while conceding 6. Their most recent outing was a 1–3 defeat to Shandong Luneng, though they bounced back to top-two status via earlier victories. Beijing Guoan display more volatility with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five; they've scored 11 goals but conceded 7. Recent results include a 4–2 victory over Qingdao Jonoon and a 1–2 loss to Henan Jianye. Despite their lower league position, Beijing's attacking potency is evident.

The betting market favors the visitor: 1.91 for Beijing Guoan dominates the 1X2 odds, with Chongqing at 3.70 and the draw at 3.60. The statistical model suggests win probabilities of 10% home, 45% draw, and 45% away, with form ratings favoring Beijing (57% vs 43%) and attack ratings even more pronounced (69% vs 31%). Bookmakers price BTTS Yes at 1.71, while Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.84, reflecting expectation of an open contest.

Smart angle: the double chance X2 (draw or Beijing Guoan) offers balanced protection. With Beijing Guoan favored at 1.91 on the 1X2 and the model backing their strength, combining their win with draw protection shields against Chongqing's home resilience while capturing Beijing's superior form and firepower.