Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Qingdao Jonoon
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Chongqing Tongliang Long hosts Qingdao Jonoon in Super League Round 29 at Tongliang Long Stadium on Saturday, 24 October 2026. The home side sits ninth in the table with 33 points, while the visitors languish in sixteenth place with just 14 points. This fixture sees a significant gulf in quality and form, with Chongqing Tongliang Long heavy favourites at 1.30 to claim three points.

Chongqing Tongliang Long have drawn their last two matches—1-1 against both Yunnan Yukun and Shandong Luneng—but suffered a heavy 3-1 defeat to Shanghai Shenhua before that. Across five recent outings, they have managed 4 goals while conceding 7, totalling zero wins, three draws and two losses. In contrast, Qingdao Jonoon are in freefall with five consecutive losses, conceding 16 goals and scoring only 3. Their recent collapses include 0-4 against Shenyang Urban and 0-3 versus Beijing Guoan, signalling fundamental defensive and offensive issues. The form differential is stark and heavily favours the hosts.

The betting market reflects this disparity cleanly. Bookmakers price Chongqing Tongliang Long at 1.30, a decisive favourite, with the draw at 5.16 and Qingdao Jonoon at 8.76. The statistical model assigns 45% probability to a home win, 45% to a draw and only 10% to an away victory. Attack and defence ratings strongly favour the home team, at 57% and 70% respectively. Double chance 1X is available at 1.04, underscoring the market's confidence in at least a home point.

Key bet: Chongqing Tongliang Long are the clear choice at 1.30, backed by both the market and the hosts' superior form, attack and defence ratings compared to a struggling Qingdao side. The recent 1-0 head-to-head victory and home advantage make this a straightforward selection.