TSC Backa Topola vs Radnicki NIS
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

TSC Backa Topola hosts Radnicki NIS in a Super Liga relegation group clash at TSC Arena on Saturday, 16 May 2026. Both sides are separated by just one point in the table—Topola in second with 44 points and Radnicki fourth with 43—making this a high-stakes encounter in the fight to avoid the drop. The outcome will significantly influence the final weeks of the season.

TSC Backa Topola enter with impressive recent form: three wins, one draw, and one loss across their last five matches, scoring 17 goals while conceding only seven. Their attack is potent, evidenced by a 6–1 demolition of Javor, though a recent 1–2 loss to Mladost Lucani hints at defensive vulnerabilities. Radnicki NIS have collected three wins and one draw in their past five but also suffered a 0–2 defeat to IMT Novi Beograd. They've scored just six goals in that span against five conceded—a tighter defensive record but less firepower in attack.

The betting market favors TSC Backa Topola at 1.85, with the draw priced at 3.25 and Radnicki NIS at 4.50. The statistical model assigns 45% probability to both a home win and a draw, with only 10% for an away victory. This suggests a closely contested match; the model credits Topola's superior attack (74% vs 26%) but Radnicki's stronger defense (58% vs 42%). BTTS Yes sits at 1.74, and Over 2.5 goals at 1.88.

Key bet: Double chance 1X (TSC Backa Topola or draw) remains the sensible approach here. At 1.17, it provides draw protection while backing the more in-form home side. With both teams level on points and the model confirming a 90% combined probability for home win or draw, this hedge-friendly angle balances risk and reward effectively.