Landskrona BoIS vs IFK Varnamo
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Landskrona BoIS hosts IFK Varnamo in Superettan's 14th round at Landskrona Idrottsplats on Sunday, 28 June 2026. The hosts sit fourth in the standings while visitors languish in 15th place, making this a fixture where form and league position heavily favour the home side. Three points could significantly tighten the race at the top for Landskrona.

Landskrona BoIS arrives in exceptional form, winning four of their last five matches and scoring 11 goals while conceding just four in that run. They hold a +7 goal difference and occupy fourth spot with 22 points from 13 matches. Conversely, IFK Varnamo is in freefall, losing all five of their most recent fixtures with only two goals scored and 14 conceded. Their league position of 15th with 10 points reflects a struggling campaign—a -15 goal difference underlines their defensive frailty.

The betting market strongly favours the hosts, offering 1.80 for a home win compared to 3.90 for an away victory. BTTS Yes trades at 1.62, reflecting genuine scoring potential from both sides. The statistical model predicts 45% home win probability and an identical 45% draw probability, with away chances at just 10%. Notably, Double chance 1X is heavily backed at 1.23, reflecting the market's view that Landskrona BoIS or a stalemate are far more likely outcomes than an upset.

Key bet: The statistical model leans toward a Landskrona win, but given the near-equal draw probability and the market's strong support for draw protection, Double chance 1X (Landskrona BoIS or draw) at 1.23 emerges as the smart angle. This covers the two most probable outcomes while offering solid value and cushioning against a surprise stalemate.