Ljungskile SK vs GIF Sundsvall
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Ljungskile SK host GIF Sundsvall in Superettan Round 7 on Thursday 14 May at an unknown venue in Uddevalla. The hosts are favoured at 1.65, with GIF Sundsvall priced at 4.50. Both sides occupy the bottom two positions in the league and desperately need points; Ljungskile SK sit 15th with 4 points, while GIF Sundsvall languish 16th on 3 points.

Ljungskile SK have shown marginal improvement with one win in their last five matches, including a 4-1 demolition of Helsingborg, though they conceded six goals across those five games. GIF Sundsvall are in freefall, losing all five recent matches and shipping 12 goals. Their goal difference of −8 is significantly worse than Ljungskile SK's −2. The home side's form rating stands at 100% versus the visitors' 0%, highlighting the stark disparity in recent performances.

The betting market overwhelmingly backs Ljungskile SK, with double chance 1X odds at just 1.17. BTTS Yes sits at 1.68, reflecting expectation of goals at both ends. Over 2.5 is priced 1.72, while the analytical model suggests a 45% probability of a home win, with 45% for a draw. The model's attack rating favours the hosts at 57% versus 43%, and defensively Ljungskile SK rate 67% to the visitors' 33%.

Key bet: Back Ljungskile SK to win outright at 1.65. Despite the model suggesting significant draw risk, the bookmaker consensus and the home side's superior form, attack and defensive metrics make them clear favourites in a contest between two struggling sides.