AC Milan
Ferencvarosi TCAC Milan welcomes Ferencvarosi TC in the UEFA Europa League League Stage matchday 4 on Thursday, 5 November at 17:45 UTC. The hosts are heavy favourites at 1.33, reflecting their status as the established European side, though recent inconsistency has left them in 24th place with just 3 points. Ferencvarosi TC arrives as the form revelation, sitting 4th with 9 points and an impressive defensive record.
AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5 matches, including a commanding 3-1 victory over Inter, yet they remain vulnerable—losing 2-4 to Bologna and conceding 10 goals across their recent run. Ferencvarosi TC are on a different trajectory: four straight wins with 16 goals scored and only 3 conceded, demonstrating clinical finishing and organised defence. The form differential is stark; Ferencvarosi TC's attack rating of 78% compared to AC Milan's 22% underscores the Hungarian side's momentum.
Bookmakers price AC Milan as overwhelming favourite, yet the statistical model suggests caution, assigning 50% probability to both a draw and an away victory, with home win probability at 0%. The market's 1.08 odds on double chance 1X (Milan win or draw) reflect layering support onto the hosts, though BTTS at 1.84 signals expectation of goals from both sides. Over 2.5 goals sits at 1.51, attractive given both teams' attacking trends.
Key bet: AC Milan to win outright remains the safest backing despite the model divergence, justified by their pedigree, home advantage, and the draw being a genuine outcome—the 1.33 odd rewards early confidence in the favourites.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
