AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Beer ShevaAZ Alkmaar hosts Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League League Stage at AFAS Stadion on Thursday, 15 October 2026. This Group Stage encounter sees the Dutch side as heavy favourites at 1.30, while the Israeli visitors are priced at 9.00. Both teams enter the competition fresh, with AZ Alkmaar seeking an immediate response after recent domestic setbacks, while Hapoel Beer Sheva arrive in stronger form.
Recent domestic performance tells a mixed story. AZ Alkmaar has managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over their last five matches, scoring 5 goals but conceding 6—a defensive concern heading into Europe. They suffered a heavy 2-0 defeat to Feyenoord and a 1-0 loss to Sunderland, though they bounced back with a 1-0 victory over Telstar. In contrast, Hapoel Beer Sheva arrives with clear momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last five, with 6 goals scored and only 4 conceded. Their recent form includes impressive domestic victories and a respectable 0-0 draw with Dinamo Zagreb.
The betting market overwhelmingly backs AZ Alkmaar, with the 1.30 home win reflecting typical odds compression for a strong favourite at home. Double chance 1X is available at 1.07, signalling the bookmakers' confidence in an AZ Alkmaar result. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.49, suggesting moderate expectation of an open match, while BTTS Yes sits at 1.82. The statistical model diverges significantly, suggesting a tighter contest with both teams capable of a result, yet the market consensus heavily favours the home side's control.
Pick to watch: AZ Alkmaar are clear favourites at 1.30 and represent the primary betting angle. Despite recent inconsistency, their home advantage in Europe and bookmaker conviction make a home win the smart play, particularly backed by the double chance market showing minimal risk at 1.07.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
