Bournemouth
Sturm GrazBournemouth welcomes Sturm Graz to Vitality Stadium on Thursday in UEFA Europa League League Stage Matchday 2. The hosts are firm favourites at 1.18, reflecting their status as a Premier League side against Austrian opposition. This is a crucial early fixture where Bournemouth will be eager to secure three points and establish momentum in the competition.
Bournemouth arrive with mixed recent form: two wins, one draw and two losses across their last five outings, netting nine goals but also conceding nine. The loss to Chelsea (1–5) and Liverpool (0–1) highlight defensive vulnerabilities, though the Europa League victory over Real Sociedad (2–1) demonstrates they can compete at this level. Sturm Graz have been more consistent with three wins in their last five, including a 2–0 victory over Austria Vienna, though they suffered a heavy 0–3 defeat to Red Bull Salzburg. Their form rating of 25% versus Bournemouth's 75% illustrates the quality gap.
The betting market signals heavy backing for a Bournemouth win, with the double chance 1X priced at just 1.04. BTTS Yes sits at 1.92, suggesting bookmakers expect goals from both sides despite Sturm Graz's defensive record. The statistical model projects 45% win probability for the home side and a surprising 45% draw probability, though this diverges from market sentiment favouring a decisive Bournemouth victory. Over 2.5 goals is backed at 1.37.
Key bet: Bournemouth win at 1.18 remains the logical choice. While the model hints at draw possibilities, the Premier League side's pedigree, home advantage and market consensus strongly point to a Bournemouth victory. Back the favourite with confidence.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Union St. Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 |  OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 |  Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 |  Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 |  Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 |  Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 |  Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 |  Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 |  Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 |  Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 |  AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 32 |  Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 33 |  Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 34 |  Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 36 |  NEC Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
