Super Nova
Ogre UnitedSuper Nova hosts Ogre United at Slokas Stadions in Virsliga Round 13 on Saturday, 16 May 2026. The home side are favoured at 1.65, reflecting their position as clear frontrunners in what promises to be a routine home fixture against a struggling visitor.
Super Nova sit fifth in the standings with 14 points, though recent form has been mixed—one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Ogre United are in deep trouble at tenth place with only 3 points from 12 matches, winless across their last five outings and leaking 19 goals already this season. The gulf in quality and current trajectory is substantial.
Bookmakers price Super Nova as significant favourites, with the double chance 1X available at 1.15, signalling confidence the hosts avoid defeat. The statistical model suggests 45% win probability for the home side versus 10% for the away team, though it also flags 45% draw probability—a cautionary note given Super Nova's indifferent run and defensive vulnerability (conceding 6 in five games).
Pick to watch: Back Super Nova to win at 1.65. Despite recent wobbles, the home advantage and Ogre United's parlous form make this the clear backing angle—the visitors have won just one match all season and offer minimal resistance to a side pushing for the podium.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rīgas FS | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 |
| 2 |  Riga | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| 3 |  Auda | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 |
| 4 |  FK Liepaja | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 |
| 5 |  Super Nova | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 |  BFC Daugavpils | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 7 |  Tukums | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Grobiņa | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 |  FS Jelgava | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 10 |  Ogre United | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
