England vs Congo DR
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

England faces Congo DR in a World Cup Round of 32 knockout clash at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Wednesday, 1 July 2026 at 16:00 UTC. This is a decisive knockout tie where only one team advances. England enters as a commanding favourite, with the bookmakers pricing them at 1.28 to secure outright victory.

England has been in outstanding form, recording 4 wins and 1 draw across their last five matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 2. Recent victories include a dominant 4-2 win over Croatia and a clean sheet 2-0 triumph against Panama. Congo DR, by contrast, shows mixed form with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last five, maintaining a balanced goal differential of 5 scored and 5 conceded. The gap in form and consistency heavily favours the English side heading into this knockout encounter.

The betting market reflects England's clear superiority, with the double chance 1X available at just 1.05, signalling minimal expectation of a Congo DR upset. The statistical model projects 50% probability for an England win, 50% for a draw, and 0% for an away victory. The model's form rating favours England at 64% versus 36%, with identical advantages in attack and defence.

Key bet: England to win outright remains the standout pick at 1.28. Their superior form, attacking threat and defensive solidity make them heavy favourites to advance from this knockout tie and progress deeper into the tournament.