Stjarnan vs Vikingur Reykjavik
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Stjarnan host Vikingur Reykjavik in Gardabaer on Tuesday, 26 May 2026, in Úrvalsdeild Round 14. The visitors arrive as commanding league leaders, sitting top with 22 points, while Stjarnan languish in ninth place with just 7 points. This clash pits the Icelandic top flight's most in-form side against a struggling home team fighting for consistency.

Stjarnan have managed mixed results recently: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last five outings, scoring 7 but also conceding 7 goals. In contrast, Vikingur Reykjavik remain unbeaten, posting an impressive 5-win streak with 18 goals scored and just 1 conceded across their last five matches. The form gulf is stark. Vikingur's attack rating stands at 77% to Stjarnan's 23%, while defensively Vikingur rate 92% compared to the home side's 8%.

Bookmakers price Vikingur Reykjavik at a strong favourite with an outright win at 1.51, while Stjarnan are outsiders at 5.01. The double chance X2 (draw or away win) reflects confidence in the visitors, priced at 1.15. The analytical model projects 45% probability for Vikingur victory and 45% for a draw, with Stjarnan at only 10%. The betting market's confidence in the visitors aligns solidly with the model's assessment of their superior form and quality.

Key bet: Vikingur Reykjavik to win outright at 1.51. The visitors have established themselves as the league's dominant force—unbeaten in five with overwhelming defensive and attacking metrics—while Stjarnan struggle at the wrong end of the table. This is a clear mismatch in form and quality.