Rapid Vienna vs TSV Hartberg
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Rapid Vienna host TSV Hartberg at Allianz Stadion on Friday, 16 October 2026, in Austrian Bundesliga Matchday 9. The hosts are the clear favourites at 1.28, sitting atop the league with 18 points and a commanding goal difference of +14. Hartberg lie seventh on 8 points, and face a tough examination against the league leaders.

Rapid Vienna arrive in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches with four wins and a single defeat earlier in the campaign. They have scored 15 goals while conceding just 8 across recent outings, including impressive wins over WSG Wattens (3-0) and Wolfsberger AC (3-0). Hartberg are also on a strong run with three wins in five, though their domestic league record shows 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses overall. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, and recent head-to-head clashes suggest competitive contests.

Bookmakers price Rapid Vienna as overwhelming favourites with the home win at 1.28, while the draw sits at 5.50 and Hartberg victory at 8.50. The market leans toward goals, with Over 2.5 priced at 1.39 and Over 3.5 at 2.01. The statistical model suggests cautious optimism for the hosts, assigning 45% to both a home win and a draw, with 10% for an away win, underpinned by 64% attacking efficiency versus 36% for the visitors.

Key bet: Rapid Vienna to win outright at 1.28. Despite the statistical model revealing a tighter contest than the odds suggest, the market confidence reflects the hosts' superior league position, recent firepower and defensive solidity. Back the favourites with conviction.