Bolivia vs Algeria
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Bolivia faces Algeria in a World Friendlies fixture on Thursday, 11 June 2026. Algeria arrives as a heavy favourite with bookmaker odds of 1.36, while Bolivia is priced at 8.50. This friendly offers both sides preparation time ahead of their respective continental obligations.

Recent form heavily favours the North African outfit. Algeria has won four of its last five matches, scoring 13 goals while conceding just one—a commanding run that includes a dominant 7-0 victory over Guatemala and a 1-0 win versus Netherlands. Bolivia, meanwhile, sits at 3W 2L in recent outings, with defensive frailties evident in heavy losses to Scotland (0-4) and Iraq (1-2). The statistical model rates Bolivia's form at only 36% compared to Algeria's 64%.

Bookmakers signal confidence in an away win, reflected in the 1.36 price for Algeria victory and X2 double chance at just 1.06. The BTTS Yes market sits at 1.99, while Over 2.5 goals is backed at 1.71. The analytical model predicts an even 50% probability split between draw and away win, yet Algeria's superior attack rating of 67% versus Bolivia's 33% underscores their edge.

Key bet: Algeria to win at 1.36. The visitors' exceptional form, defensive solidity, and their 3-2 head-to-head advantage from March 2024 make them the clear selection despite the modest odds. Bolivia's recent struggles and vulnerability at the back make Algeria victory the most reliable outcome.