NorthEast United vs Mohammedan
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

NorthEast United host Mohammedan in Indian Super League regular season action at the Indira Gandhi Athletic Stadium, Guwahati on Tuesday, 19 May 2026. The home side are heavy favourites at 1.27, reflecting their commanding position as title contenders, while Mohammedan arrive as relegation-threatened visitors searching for consistency.

NorthEast United sit ninth with 13 points from a mixed recent run: one win, one draw and three losses across their last five games, though they recorded an impressive 4–1 victory over Chennaiyin before faltering against Inter Kashi (0–2 loss to Goa). They've scored 7 but conceded 8 in recent fixtures. Mohammedan languish 14th with just 3 points, winless in their last five (three draws, two defeats) and shipping goals at an alarming rate: 10 conceded against only 4 scored. The form gap is stark.

The betting market signals overwhelming home dominance: the double chance 1X stands at 1.03, and Over 1.5 goals is priced at just 1.13. The statistical model concurs, projecting 50% home win probability and 50% draw, with Mohammedan assigned 0% win odds. Home attack and defence ratings favour NorthEast United decisively at 67% and 59% respectively.

Key bet: NorthEast United to win outright at 1.27 remains the standout pick. Despite inconsistent recent form, the home team's rating advantage and Mohammedan's defensive fragility make a comfortable victory the most probable outcome in Guwahati.